Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000678 0.000777 0.000883 0.001003 0.001135 0.001276 0.001438
2025-05-25 0.000519 0.000656 0.000811 0.000999 0.001220 0.001469 0.001769
2025-06-01 0.000421 0.000570 0.000747 0.000972 0.001246 0.001567 0.001966
2025-06-08 0.000348 0.000501 0.000693 0.000946 0.001265 0.001649 0.002142
2025-06-15 0.000300 0.000458 0.000663 0.000942 0.001306 0.001755 0.002343
2025-06-22 0.000261 0.000421 0.000636 0.000939 0.001342 0.001853 0.002534
2025-06-29 0.000226 0.000384 0.000605 0.000924 0.001362 0.001927 0.002696
2025-07-06 0.000194 0.000348 0.000572 0.000905 0.001371 0.001986 0.002836
2025-07-13 0.000178 0.000334 0.000567 0.000923 0.001431 0.002112 0.003065
2025-07-20 0.000162 0.000318 0.000559 0.000934 0.001482 0.002224 0.003279
2025-07-27 0.000143 0.000296 0.000538 0.000925 0.001501 0.002295 0.003437
2025-08-03 0.000126 0.000273 0.000515 0.000912 0.001513 0.002354 0.003581
2025-08-10 0.000115 0.000262 0.000510 0.000925 0.001565 0.002472 0.003810
2025-08-17 0.000103 0.000246 0.000496 0.000925 0.001596 0.002562 0.004002
2025-08-24 0.000088 0.000223 0.000468 0.000898 0.001587 0.002592 0.004109
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.000203 0.000442 0.000873 0.001577 0.002621 0.004215
2025-09-07 0.000067 0.000191 0.000430 0.000870 0.001601 0.002699 0.004391
2025-09-14 0.000060 0.000179 0.000417 0.000867 0.001624 0.002774 0.004564
2025-09-21 0.000052 0.000166 0.000401 0.000853 0.001630 0.002824 0.004702
2025-09-28 0.000045 0.000152 0.000381 0.000835 0.001625 0.002858 0.004815
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.000148 0.000382 0.000852 0.001681 0.002984 0.005068
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000143 0.000380 0.000863 0.001726 0.003095 0.005299
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000134 0.000367 0.000854 0.001737 0.003153 0.005452